The best bets Liverpool vs Everton: first fouls, home advantage and Mohamed Salah …
For other stories like this Click here to follow The Athletic’s sports betting Section and add them to your feed.
THE Premier League It is – finally – back after an international break AND a weekend of FA CUP Action of the quarter -finals. This imminent Merseyside derby between Liverpool and Everton felt as if he were on the horizon forever. Now it’s time to go to battle.
Here’s how the markets are measuring this game and the key factors to be considered for bettors.
History suggests only one thing: a Liverpool a victory
To say that Everton’s record in Anfield is extremely poor would probably not even do justice. The most appropriate adjectives could be abysmal, atrocious or without hope.
Since 1999, they have claimed the victory on the ground of their old enemy only once – and perhaps he is saying that he arrived in 2021, during the Covidid season when the stadium was mostly empty and therefore devoid of the typical Thrum of the Anfield derby.
Add this historical domain for the Reds to the fact that in 2024-25, there was a substantial gap between the two parts: one is linked to the title, the other requested a managerial change to get away from relegation-e has perfectly sense that the two teams have a price as they are.
Arne Slot men are strong favorites, and rightly. Everton are appropriate lengthwise shots, and while 3/1 probability for a draw would be an excellent price if this game was played at Goodison Park (where four of the last six meetings have been drawn) … it is in Anfield, where in normal circumstances, Liverpool has exhausted the winners from time to time.
The best bet? The first fouls
The Merseyside derby rarely start in a shy way.
With the crackling atmosphere and the players loaded to deliver for fans, the opening minutes of the opening of these rivalry games are often thunderous affairs. Wait that both teams try to assert a physical tone and, in doing so, go to challenges a little more firmly than normal.
A popular market for bettors in these circumstances is shown, as it is easy to imagine many too zealous contrasts, spaces for players and topics. But in these days, the referees are trying more and more hard to slide these spicy affairs and not show too many yellow cards too early, since they are worried that it will inevitably lead to Reds later. This adds risk to any bet carried out on the booking lines.
A different way to approach this is to support the first fouls. Betfair manages a special at 17/20 for each team to commit a foul in the first 10 minutes of the game (from 00:00 to 09:59 on the game clock). Not only does the opportunity lend itself well to this bet, but the statistics also perform it Pff fc.
Merseyside’s last derby of Mohamed Salah?
If this must be Salah’s last meeting with Everton – and the fact that it has yet to sign a new contract makes a very firm possibility – without a doubt it will be eager to leave a lasting impression. There is no better way to do it than to score a goal or two.
The market clearly expects that it has assistance, it is likely that they sign or assist at any time, it will be approximately marking at any time and up to 8/1 to have three or more involvement for the objectives.
Obviously, Everton’s rivalry is not the only thing that feeds the belief that Salah will play a decisive role in this game, while also chases personal history on three fronts. His 27 league goals lead him to nine shy of the 36 record of Erling Haaland’s record, which means that an incredible final stretch of the season could see him pass that count. It also needs only four assists to overcome the joint record of 20 Henry and Kevin de Bruyne.
After leaving in front of the international break, his imperative return of Liverpool by it with renewed trust and vigor. Beat the taffe at home would be the perfect way to reach it, and the probability are, if the Reds are among the objectives, Salah will be in the center.
Recommended reading
(Photographic credit: Alex Pantling / Getty Images)
