Elections in Wisconsin, Florida: what to look at as conservatives to face an electoral test in the whole state
The voters in two states are launching general electoral votes for the first time since November, when they sent the president Donald Trump Back to the White House.
Wisconsin will choose a new justice on the Supreme Court of the State, which has a majority of 4-3 liberal. Florida is keeping special elections in two deep red districts held by Matt Gaetz and Matt Gaetz e Michael Waltz.
At stake: judicial decisions on abortion, unions and voting rights in Wisconsin and the dimensions of the Republican majority in the United States Chamber.
The Democrats have counted so far.
Out of year and special elections are generally low -change business, which, in the Trump era, have often given the strongest item of democratic voters.
The first large state election of oscillation of 2025 turns into off -road vehicles on Trump, Musk
President Donald Trump during a ceremony that presents the presidential medal of freedom to the DAN GABLE fighter in the oval office of the White House on December 7, 2020. (Saul Loeb/Afp via Getty Images)
This could offer liberals a victory and a majority in progress in Wisconsin and/or a strong performance in the Florida races.
Even so, republicans are favored to win those two Florida races and an injection in cash from Elon Musk He kept the Wisconsin race competitive.
Whatever happens, it is too early to draw conclusions on the long -term perspectives of both sides. The electorates who decide the middle and beyond seem different and do not put votes for more than a year and a half.
The candidates for the Supreme Court of Wisconsin Brad Schimel and Susan Crawford are seen before a television debate, on March 12, 2025, in Milwaukee. (Ap Photo/Morry Gash)
Wisconsin
Key Race
In the race of the Supreme Court of the State, the judge of the County of Dane Susan Crawford and the judge of the County of Waukesha Brad Schimel try to replace the extroverted judge Ann Walsh Bradley, the longest member of the Court, who announced last April that he would not look for a fourth 10 -year mandate.
Supreme Court of Wisconsin The seats are officially not partisan, but the voters and establishments of the State Party usually gather behind certain candidates based on their philosophies and judicial registers.
Crawford has the support of democrats and progressives, including an approval this week by former president Barack Obama. Schimel has the support of republicans and conservatives, including Trump and Elon Musk.
Because it is important
This will be the first indication of the political climate of the state since Trump regained the White House.
The liberal judges gained a 4-3 majority in court in 2023 for the first time in 15 years after judge Janet Protasiewicz won a seat previously held by a conservative jurist. Bradley’s pension offers conservatives the opportunity to recover the majority in view of the cases of high profile on abortion, unions and voting rights.
ADVANCED ADVENT AND VOTE
Starting from 1 March, there were over 3.8 million active registered voters in Wisconsin. The voters in the state are not recorded by the party.
About 1.8 million votes were expressed in the 2023 spring elections for the state Supreme Court. This was 51% of the voters registered and at the time about 40% of the population of voting ages.
About 25% of the voters voted before the day of the elections.
Starting from Monday, more than 674,000 The cards had been launched before the election day.
The candidates for the Supreme Court of Wisconsin Brad Schimel and Susan Crawford, 12 March 2025, in Milwaukee. (Ap Photo/Morry Gash)
Counties to look at
In any state election in Wisconsin, the Democrats tend to win with great margins in the populous counties of Milwaukee and Dane (Madison headquarters), while the Republicans win with large margins in the smallest and most rural counties that extend over most of the state.
Republican candidates also tend to rely on strong shows in the WoW counties of Waukesha, Ozaukee and Washington in the suburbs Milwaukee, which help to contrast democratic advantages in urban areas.
Results
Wait the first results reported shortly after 21:00 et, when the polls close.
The tabulation of the night of the elections ended at 2:30 and in the spring elections of 2023 and 5:47 and in the general elections of November, both with over 98% of the total counted vote.
Tells
The stories are not automatic in Wisconsin, but a final candidate can request one if the winning vote margin is lower than a percentage point.
The judge of the Cott Brad Schimel circuit speaks to the supporters during a campaign stop on March 25, 2025 in Jefferson, Wisconsin. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)
Florida
Key breeds
6th Congress District
The sixth congress district is located on the Atlantic coast and includes Daytona beach. Republican presidential candidates brought all six counties to the district for the last four presidential elections.
In the old district of Michael Waltz, the candidates are the Senator of the Republican State Randy Fine and the Democrat Josh Weil, an educator of public schools in the county of Osceola.
End represents a district of the state Senate based in Brevard, located outside the boundaries of the seat of the United States Chamber of the Palm Coast that hopes to fill. He won a three -way primary on January 28 with the approval of Trump.
Trump brought the district in 2024 with 65% of the votes. Waltz received about 67% of the votes in his final re -election offer of the Chamber.
Mike Waltz National Security Councilor and President Donald Trump (Getty Images)
1st Congress District
1st Congress District borders in Alabama on the coast of the Gulf in the westernmost part of the Panhandle della Florida. It hosts both the basis of Pensacola of the naval air station and Aeronautical of Eglin. The district is among the most reliable republican areas of the state.
Republican Jimmy Patronis and the Democrat Gay Valimont are running to replace the representative Matt Gaetz, who resigned from the Chamber last year.
Patronis is the financial director of the state. He received Trump’s approval in a crowded primary. Valimont is an activist for the control of weapons.
Trump received about 68% of the district vote in 2024, slightly overperforming 66% that Gaetz received in his re -election offer.
Republican Jimmy Patronis and the Democrat Gay Valimont are running to replace the representative Matt Gaetz, who resigned from the Chamber last year. (Reuters)
Because they count
Control of the United States Chamber is not at stake, but the result of the special elections could give congress republicans a little breath in the strict uniform chamber. Republicans hold 218 seats, the minimum necessary for the majority in a completely sitting house. Democrats hold 213 seats, with two other vacant seats more recently held by democratic legislators.
In the meantime, the Democrats hope that a strong fundraising in both districts will be an indicator that the races will be more competitive than they were in the last elections only five months ago.
ADVANCED ADVENT AND VOTE
The participation of the voters tends to be much higher in the general presidential elections than the elections held other times.
To date, around 205,000 votes had been launched in the two districts, about 53% by the Republicans and about 33% by the Democrats.
President Donald Trump speaks to the media in the oval office in the White House. (Reuters/Evelyn Hockstein)
Counties to look at
6th Congress District
Trump and Waltz behaved better in the County of Putnam, where both received about 74% of the votes. Their worst county in comparison was Volusia, where Trump received 58% and Waltz received about 60%. Waltz slightly overperformed Trump in any County of the District.
1st Congress District
The part of the Walton county that falls within the 1st district is the most reliable Republican of the four counties. Escambia is the least republican compared, although Trump and Gaetz have still received 59% and 57% of the county vote, respectively.
Results
Wait the first results reported in the 6th district shortly after 19:00 et. The latest update of the night’s vote to the general elections of 2024 was shortly before midnight, with the count of about 99% of the votes.
In the 1st district, expected results shortly after 20:00 et. The tabulation of the night of the general elections of 2024 ended at 1: 33 et with about 99% of the total counted vote.
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Tells
The stories of the machine in Florida are automatic if the vote margin is 0.5% of the total or lower vote. If the car, the vote margin translates into a voting margin of 0.25% of the total or lower vote, a manual counting of overloads and submarine is required.
The Associated Press has contributed to this report.
