Nrl 2025: upset in ride – because the tip in the nrl is a nightmare

“Any team can win on a given day. There are no easy games in the NRL.

“The football standard was brilliant. This will be an incredibly close competition based on what we saw in the first five rounds.”

Everything is fine and good, but how to choose a winner in the sixth round? Your best bet to select the choice of alcoholics? Do you go with the home team? Is there a rebound factor after a great loss?

We asked champion data to creak the numbers, and here’s what they invented. There is some advantage in playing at home, with the hosts who won 56.3 percent of the time.

There is also a significant rebound rate, especially when the teams are leaving a massive retouching. The sides that have lost 20 or more points have a probability of 43.7 percent to win the following week, the proof that great inversions are a genuine phenomenon.

For test, do not look beyond the Gauls; Scene 50-14 from the Broncos in the opening round, nobody gave them a chance against Penrith the following week. Despite having lost Sam Walker, Brandon Smith, Victor Radley, Spencer Leniu, Lindsay Collins and Nat Butcher, the Tricolors have created what has been described as their greatest victory ever: a 38-32 victory over the four Premiers.

“Any team can win on a given day. There are no easy games in the NRL.”

CEO of nr Andrew Abdo

Has anyone chosen it?

Then there is the problem of sticking to a team in a series. Do you guide luck or every victory brings them closer to their next defeat? A trend at the beginning of the season is for the teams that go to the loss of victories, loss of victories, before the cream goes up to the top after the opening months.

Since 2016, the Streak series went as follows:

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A victory – 440 times
Two wins in a row – 428 times;
Three wins in a row – 221 times;
Four wins in a row – 111 times;
Five+ wins in a row – 70 times.

The latter statistics is something to keep in mind when the unbeaten bulldogs, after going out, host South Sydney in their traditional Good Friday clash.

And then there is the practice of going with the highest team. If you have chosen the one sitting lower on the scale, here is your success rate in the last four seasons;

2025 – 35%;
2024 – 28.7%;
2023 – 40.7%;
2022 – 34.9%.

So what to do with everything? It is equally narrow in the lower part of the scale as it is at the top. After the eels and dolphins sang the team of the team over the weekend, each team has enjoyed at least one victory. There is still a lot of time for background feedists to climb the ranks of respectability.

We hope that, given my modest position, the same goes for the reversal competition.

Nrl is live and free on Channel 9 & 9Now

Michael Chams and Andrew “Joey” Johns mark the next round nrl, as well as the latest news, results and Footy analysis. Subscribe to the SIN BIN newsletter.