Trump-China tariff war could end post-COVID travel surge ‘a bit faster’

Bloxham says that the dollar autumn offers a form of protection for the wider economy, if not frustration for travelers.

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“You could see a redirection away from international trips to home travel largely because the Australian dollar has fallen.”

Trump’s White House has not discussed the tariffs that affect airlines or travels, however, the US carriers are marking the growth estimates between the uncertainty generated by the commercial position of the White House of Trump.

Thursday Aest, the US vector Delta Air Lines withdrew the financial guide for the whole year due to uncertainty in global trade.

“With the level of uncertainty we are witnessing and the amount of changes that occur daily in global trade, it is very difficult to predict how policies could be during the year,” said CEO and Bastian, according to Bloomberg.

Air France-Klm Thursday (AEST) indicated that it would reduce prices to keep its cabins of transatlantic economy full, among the signs of weakening of appetite for international travel.

The US-China commercial war that triggers economic nationalism all over the world also asks questions about the impact of the support that the local aviation sector can receive.

Speaking in response to Trump’s mass imposition of Trump of ratesPrime Minister Anthony Albanian promised on April 3 that “just as we are already encouraging more people to buy Australian – our Labor government will also buy the Australian.

“This means that Australian activities will be in front of the tail For contracts and government contracts, “he said.

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How much an explicitly pro-australian commercial policy could benefit from Qantas owned by Australian owned.

During the pandemic, the government provided $ 2.7 billion In government subsidies and financing in Qantas for block repatriation flights, everyone allows the airline to further give up on its place on the market.

Moody’s credit agent, Ian Chitter, said he did not “anticipate a significant impact on earnings since I think that historically most of the government employees would still have chosen Qantas, given its advantages of product and network”.

Another analyst said that Qantas would benefit “marginally” because it already has a reasonable amount of breadth and network depth. The real lifting for Qantas can derive from the weakening of oil prices, which will make the fuel cheaper. “Even if there is pain in dollars, there is an offset effect with oil,” he said.

Dr. Tony Webber, CEO of Airline Intelligence & Research and former Economist head of Qantas, said that publicly, Albanese is trying to distance himself from Qantas “because he has taken the warmth” for his relationship with the controversial former CEO of Qantas Alan Joyce in the past.

Joyce resigned at the beginning of 2023 between scandals for the sale of tickets for canceled flights, replaced by Vanessa Hudson as CEO.

Webber said that despite the sensitivity for the historical ties of the government with Qantas, “I think that behind the scenes, politicians [from both Labor and Coalition] would prefer qantas as it has a [more upmarket] Product that Virgin ”, with reference to the Qantas lounges and premium offers.

Virgin Australia is the greatest domestic competitor in Qantas. The company is owned by the majority of Bain Capital and Qatar Airways, its long -haul travel partner.

The company, which entered the administration briefly in 2020 after a period of loss of bruise, is now in a stronger financial health and is Prepare for a public list.

In July 2023, the federal government blocked a plan from Qatar Airways to add 21 extra flights per week to capital. After a guarantee of indignation, the agreement to allow Qatar to offer long -haul flights to Australia received regulatory approval last month.

The Albanian campaign was contacted for a comment. Qantas refused to comment.

“The measure that Qantas is already favored is surprising,” said the professor of associate law of the University of Wollongg Andy Schmulow, who studies regulation. He quoted the billions of dollars in support received by Qantas from the government during the Covid-19 pandemic.

“I no longer see how the government can more support qantas.”

Schmulow is underway in the current elections as a candidate for the Senate of the citizens of the New South Wales.

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